A lot of football from the English leagues tonight and I’m sure you’ll be able to find a few great bets. Newcastle is superior in the Championship and will most likely beat Derby tonight with odds over 2.00. Barnsley are running good and got a decent chance of winning away to struggling Middlesbrough, to the great odds of 4.60. I will consider these throughout the evening, but one bet that I will bet for sure is Stoke to win away against Wigan. Stoke have won 3 out of their last 5 games and drawn the remaining 2. I’ve followed Stoke for quite a few years (actually moved from Stoke-on-trent two years ago) and they’ve never looked like a stronger side to me! Wigan managed to draw last game against Sunderland, but before that they got knocked out of the FA cup by losing at home to Notts County, and also got two straight losses in the league. I think Stoke will run right over one of the worst teams in the league by taking the lead early and winning the game. I bet 3% of my bankroll that Stoke will lead in half-time and win the game, odds 6.51.
Archive for the 'Picks' Category
We’re off to a great start! There’s very few interesting games tonight and I’ll just focus on one game in the Swedish hockey league. The reigning champions Färjestad takes on Djurgården at home in Löfbergs Lila Arena. Färjestad lost pretty much their whole team after last seasons success, but after a few late signings the last couple of weeks it looks like they still got a chance of defending their trophy. Tonight however I think they’ll have to score at least 4 goals to win and that’s not impossible at all at home. The reason for this is that Djurgården has attacked with a great speed this year and managed to score a lot of goals. Färjestads 1st keeper is also out tonight due to sickness and I don’t have a lot of confidence in his sub Robin Rahm. I bet 3% of my bankroll that there will be over 5 goals in total with odds 1.855.
A few interesting games tonight with the cup games from England, Italy, France and Spain. I think the odds are pretty much correct when it comes to the three latter ones though and prefer to focus on the games from England.
Leeds takes on Tottenham in the FA-cup rematch after two equalizers from young Beckford last game – the last one from the penatĺty spot. I don’t think they can do it again and also it seems like Leeds are missing out on their best defender in Kisnorbo and also midfielder Kilkenny, who both started last game. Tottenham got their own problems, but it shouldn’t make any differences in their starting eleven. Bet365 stands out from the rest of the crowd and offers 3.60 for Tottenham to win by at least 2 goals in the “Winner Margin” market. I bet 3% of the bankroll on this one.
Also there’s an interesting Premiership game tonight when struggling Fulham takes on struggling Portsmouth. Fulham have run into tough competition their last games but haven’t been able to make it into a battle. Portsmouth on the other hand have looked quite good, even though they haven’t managed to win. I reckon this to be a low-scoring game with a lot of battle on the midfield. We are offered 2.18 for the draw or a Portsmouth win tonight (X2) and also 1.88 for only one of the teams score. I bet 3% on the X2 and 5% on my theory of a low-scoring game. I think this odds is nothing but brilliant.
Not a big day for betting, but there’s a few interesting games. The African Cup is over and an already strong Chelsea team now also got Drogba and Kalou available. There’s already 34 points difference between the teams in the league and I can’t really see why that difference shouldn’t be bigger by the end of the night. However you only get paid 1.29 on any Chelsea stakes tonight, and I’m not sure I can defend over 80% chance for them to win against a fighting Hull side.
Wigan are also big favorites in the second clash FA-cup game against Notts County. Notts County almost got away with a win at home, but today I just can’t see them putting up much of a fight. Wigan have played quite well in their last games and even though coach Martinez might rest some players for the more important premiership games, I think they’ll run Notts County over tonight. I bet 3% of my bankroll for Wigan to win with asian handicap -1½ goals, with odds 2.03. Charles N’Zogbia is a great winger in Wigans team that have scored 3 out of the teams last 9 goals. It pays 3.25 for him to score in tonights game, but there’s a chance that he will start from the bench. Because of that I bet 3% of my bankroll for Charles N’Zogbia to score first goal. The odds for this is 8.00 and the good news is that the bet will be voided if he starts from the bench, and there’s a goal before he gets into play.



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